Dargay, J; Hanly, M; (2004) Volatility of car ownership, commutingmode and time in the UK. In: (Proceedings) World Conference on Transport Research. : Istanbul, Turkey.

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Abstract

This paper has two objectives: to examine the volatility of travel behaviour over timeand consider the factors explaining this volatility; and to estimate the factors determiningcar ownership and commuting by car. The analysis is based on observations of individualsand households over a period of up to eleven years obtained from the British HouseholdPanel Survey (BHPS). Changes in car ownership, commuting mode and commuting timeover a period of years for the same individuals/households are examined to determine theextent to which these change from year to year. This volatility of individual behaviour is ameasure of the ease of change or adaptation. If behaviour changes easily, policy measuresare likely to have a stronger and more rapid effect than if there is more resistance tochange. The changes are ?explained? in terms of factors such as moving house, changingjob and employment status. The factors determining car ownership and commuting by carare analysed using a dynamic panel-data models.

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